Later this month, the central banks of the United States and Europe will announce their next interest‑rate decisions. While the Federal Reserve operates under a dual mandate—price stability and maximum employment—the European Central Bank (ECB) focuses primarily on controlling inflation. Where does this difference come from? We discuss it with Charles Kalshoven, expert strategist at APG.
As the U.S. Senate in Washington considers the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the new Fed chair, we look back. What is the origin of the different mandates of the Fed and the ECB?
“The difference is deeply rooted in history. In the United States, the economic trauma of the twentieth century is the Great Depression of the 1930s. Mass unemployment, deflation and the sense that the government and the central bank failed to act decisively left a lasting mark. Out of that experience grew the belief that a central bank should not only keep inflation in check, but also actively help prevent prolonged unemployment. That dual mandate was formally enshrined in legislation in 1977.
“In Europe—and especially in Germany—the trauma lies elsewhere. There, hyperinflation in the Weimar Republic in 1923 was decisive. Savings and pensions were wiped out, particularly for the middle class. That experience led to the conviction that price stability is essential, not only for economic predictability but also for social trust and political stability. The chaos of shortages and inflation in the years after World War II reinforced this view among the generation that later built the Bundesbank. That intellectual tradition ultimately shaped the design of the ECB.”
Does this mean the ECB essentially follows a ‘German’ model?
“To a large extent, yes. The ECB builds on the Bundesbank tradition, with price stability as its primary objective. That was explicitly laid down at the creation of the euro. For Germany, a strong and stable currency was a precondition for giving up the Deutsche Mark.
“At the same time, there was a broader political bargain. France backed German reunification in 1990, and Germany agreed to the introduction of the euro. Other euro‑area countries accepted the strict mandate partly because the common currency was seen as a step toward deeper European integration. Price stability was also viewed as something that would ultimately support growth and employment, albeit indirectly. In addition, countries with a history of high inflation, such as Italy, were able to ‘borrow’ the Bundesbank’s credibility, which resulted in lower interest rates and greater confidence.”